
Unless you’ve lived in a hole the last few months speculation has been rife that Red Bull intend to replace Sergio Perez with either Liam Lawson or Yuki Tsunoda.
The Background
I first wanted to briefly touch upon the decision by RB earlier on in the season to renew Perez’s contract. Perez had, had a tough run of races and it was a surprise to many when RB announced at The Canadian Grand Prix the contract extension that would take him through to at least the end of the 2025 season and into the 2026 season. I can only assume the reasoning behind this was the hope it might give him a bit of a morale boost and give him a platform to go and kick on from. Unfortunately, that hasn’t been the case, not only did he have a weekend to forget in Canada, but the remainder of the season was shocking as well.
You could argue until you’re blue in the face that his struggles have come due to the performance of the car or if he has even been given an equal car. However, you do have to assume that upgrades went to Max first based on his position in the championship but that doesn’t mean Perez didn’t get them, at the end of the day the goal for RB is to win the constructors championship. Despite popular belief, it is not in RB’s best interest for one of their drivers struggle, they’ve now gone from 1st to 3rd in the standings which whilst it will mean an increase in wind tunnel time and development hours, it does mean they will have less prize money to use on the car.
The Options
The replacement options being considered come in the form of Yuki Tsunoda or Liam Lawson. For me I don’t think either of them are of the level that RB need to get back to the top of the championship. You look at Ferrari and McLaren, both of their drivers are generally closely matched and consistently scoring good points.
Tsunoda has had some flashes of brilliance but for me he lacks the consistency, and he also seems quite hot headed. He also doesn’t strike me as being the most constructive driver when it comes to feedback for the engineers on car set up and development.
Lawson seems like the chosen one, personally I don’t think he’s shown enough in his time in F1 to really be the man to go up against Verstappen. He stepped in for a few races last season for the injured Daniel Ricciardo and then this season he replaced him completely after Singapore. For me he hasn’t really set the world alight. He does however seem to have a strong character about him which he will need going up against Verstappen. He does come across as a bit arrogant and he certainly doesn’t seem to mind ruffling some feathers, if he gets the move to RB and starts ruffling Max’s feathers that won’t sit well, and he won’t last long.
The Problem
Red Bull have themselves a problem and I am not talking about who they pick as a replacement. I am talking about Perez himself. At the time of writing Sergio Perez has a contract to race next season, he is not just going to give that up. Obviously, I don’t know the ins and outs of his contract, but unless RB have some get out clauses within it, it could be hard for them to get out of it. I read a rumour that it could cost Reb Bull up to $80m to cancel his contract, if that is true not only is it a huge sum of money but it might also suggest that there are in fact no performance based “get out” clauses in his contract. Not only that, but Perez also comes with significant sponsorship backing. RB are obviously not short of a penny, but they need to make careful decisions because the drop in prize money, the loss of the sponsorship from him and any monetary payments they must make to terminate the contract could all be factors for next seasons budget.
Final Thoughts
Ultimately, I think RB will still replace Sergio Perez. They could go for something they have not done since they joined Formula 1 and give both drivers a go next season. For those who may not know, when RB joined F1 in 2005 they had David Coulthard as their main driver and the second seat they were due to swap between Christian Klien and Vitantonio Liuzzi. That season Klien ended up doing more races that Liuzzi, but it is something they could consider doing again.
I think they will go with Lawson, he seems to be the chosen one at the moment after Verstappen and they seem to have a lot of faith in him. However, that could also be said of Kvyat, Gasly and Albon all of which seemed to be in the good graces at the time of moving to the main team but in the end they didn’t have the best of times in the other Red Bull and ultimately left for other teams.


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